Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:44:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

38
0x3826…30b9
crypto · 4 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$4 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -81%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+0.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +10.6% +0.0% 75% 75% +2.9%
≤30d 4 +10.6% +0.0% 75% 75% +2.9%
≤90d 4 +10.6% +0.0% 75% 75% +2.9%
all 4 +10.6% +0.0% 75% 75% +2.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +0.0% 75% +2.9%
10% -9.5% 75% -7.0%
15% -18.3% 25% -15.9%
20% -26.3% 25% -24.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 15 history records