Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:07:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

38
0x381f…4309
crypto · 1126 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$275 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$275 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$275
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses557 / 520
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1077 / 1126
History coverage7d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day437.5
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1077 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$279
7 days+$275
14 days+$275
30 days+$275
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$876
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1077 -14.2% -22.3% 52% 50% -4.2%
≤30d 1077 -14.2% -22.3% 52% 50% -4.2%
≤90d 1077 -14.2% -22.3% 52% 50% -4.2%
all 1077 -14.2% -22.3% 52% 50% -4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover437.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.3% 50% -4.2%
10% ← realistic here -29.8% 33% -13.4%
15% -36.5% 13% -21.7%
20% -42.8% 5% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records