Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:20:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

38
0x3813…bc54
crypto · 206 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$67 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$67 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$67
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses143 / 63
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)206 / 206
History coverage50d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day11.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 206 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$20
14 days−$65
30 days−$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$12 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $46 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$20 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$15 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$10 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$66
sports 0% −$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $17 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $15 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $17 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $15 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $21 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $15 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 -5.7% -14.7% 80% 43% -10.8%
≤30d 195 -7.6% -16.4% 71% 44% -12.3%
≤90d 206 -7.9% -16.7% 69% 44% -12.4%
all 206 -7.9% -16.7% 69% 44% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.7% 44% -12.4%
10% -24.7% 22% -20.8%
15% -31.9% 13% -28.4%
20% -38.6% 9% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 594 history records