trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -5.6% | -14.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -5.6% | -14.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -5.6% | -14.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 14 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 7% | 0% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.3% | 0% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -23.4% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -30.8% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -37.6% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $219 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $179 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $1 | $0 | -19% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $229 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $178 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $219 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $169 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $1 | $0 | -19% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $219 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $2 | $0 | -17% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Jan 12 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Jan 07 | $15 | −$5 | -34% |
| Interstellar object confirmed aliens? | Dec 25 | $19 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Oct 23 | $49 | $0 | -0% |