Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:23:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
37 0x37f0…bb4c crypto 1187 markets active 0h ago coverage 16d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d only
✗ bot/MM pace (141 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$49 (-1%) realized −$49 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -29% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -46% what you keep after slip
Net edge-46%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate47%768W / 875L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day141.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$502
7 days−$460
14 days−$468
30 days−$494
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$40
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (141 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-36.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1023 -46.4% -51.5% 36% 31% -20.2%
≤30d 1643 -29.3% -36.1% 47% 31% -15.5%
≤90d 1643 -29.3% -36.1% 47% 31% -15.5%
all 1643 -29.3% -36.1% 47% 31% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover141.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.1% 31% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -42.2% 22% -23.6%
15% -47.8% 15% -31.0%
20% -52.9% 9% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
31% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -29% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -61% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.78 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.69 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses768 / 875
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1643 / 1187
History coverage16d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day141.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1643 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$2 -565%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -342%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -112%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $11 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $11 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $11 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $11 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $11 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $11 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $8 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records