Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:31:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
37 0x37e8…44b1 crypto 183 markets active 2d ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (109 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$130 (-7%) realized −$130 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate62%114W / 69L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day109.0pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit74%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$117
7 days−$134
14 days−$185
30 days−$185
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 68% −$170
other 18% −$18
sports 14% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (109 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 +6.0% -4.1% 66% 28% -22.3%
≤30d 183 +0.9% -8.7% 62% 36% -18.4%
≤90d 183 +0.9% -8.7% 62% 36% -18.4%
all 183 +0.9% -8.7% 62% 36% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover109.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 36% -18.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 29% -26.2%
15% -25.4% 23% -33.4%
20% -32.7% 20% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
43% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$11 · ×0.46 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$130
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses114 / 69
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)183 / 183
History coverage8d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day109.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 183 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$26 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$34 +206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$8 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$66 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$27 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$9 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$45 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$15 +157%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $27 +$1 +5%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals Jun 13 $13 +$1 +10%
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 2 - 3 CR Brasil? Jun 12 $1 $0 -30%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada? Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Maghreb AS de Fès leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $9 −$1 -12%
Czechia to score first vs. Korea Republic? Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $20 −$2 -8%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $4 $0 +7%
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -89%
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $4 $0 +11%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1039 history records