Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:10:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x37e4…c991
sports · 34 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$13,825,881 -1728%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,818,603 · open −$7,460
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$229,526
Realized−$13,818,603
Unrealized−$7,460
Win rate (resolved)2%
Wins / losses12 / 483
Whale WR (big bets)2%
Est. fees paid−$8,322
Open positions16
Markets (closed)495 / 34
History coverage5d
Avg bet$23,530
Trades / day693.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 16 History 495 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13,911,719
7 days−$13,818,603
14 days−$13,818,603
30 days−$13,818,603
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $86,804 $82,387 −$4,417 (-5%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 88¢ 89¢ $48,223 $48,577 +$354 (+1%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 42¢ 38¢ $27,279 $24,296 −$2,983 (-11%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $23,192 $23,330 +$138 (+1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 52¢ 54¢ $14,484 $14,902 +$418 (+3%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 43¢ 44¢ $12,679 $12,827 +$147 (+1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 19¢ 20¢ $10,214 $10,483 +$269 (+3%)
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 28¢ 28¢ $9,382 $9,546 +$164 (+2%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 92¢ 81¢ $1,360 $1,193 −$166 (-12%)
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $988 $1,068 +$80 (+8%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 45¢ 46¢ $585 $604 +$19 (+3%)
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 1¢ $1,571 $249 −$1,323 (-84%)
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 20¢ 4¢ $196 $34 −$162 (-82%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 89¢ 90¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+2%)
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+13%)
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $10,488 $0 −$10,488 (-100%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? No 45¢ 0¢ $87,620 $0 −$87,620 (-100%)
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21? No 44¢ 0¢ $33,635 $0 −$33,635 (-100%)
Connecticut Huskies vs. Georgetown Hoyas Georgetown Hoyas 11¢ 0¢ $1,077 $0 −$1,077 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? No 40¢ 0¢ $48,000 $0 −$48,000 (-100%)
Seahawks vs. 49ers 49ers 41¢ 0¢ $63,783 $0 −$63,783 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-21? No 26¢ 0¢ $895 $0 −$895 (-100%)
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $25,989 $0 −$25,989 (-100%)
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13? Jun 12 $10,488 −$10,488 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $87,620 −$87,620 -100%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21? Jun 12 $33,635 −$33,635 -100%
Connecticut Huskies vs. Georgetown Hoyas Jun 12 $1,077 −$1,077 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $48,000 −$48,000 -100%
Seahawks vs. 49ers Jun 12 $63,783 −$63,783 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-21? Jun 12 $895 −$895 -100%
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $25,989 −$25,989 -100%
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-01-18? Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Kings vs. Panthers Jun 12 $12,482 −$12,482 -100%
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-17? Jun 12 $6,196 −$6,196 -100%
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-01? Jun 12 $1,174 −$1,174 -100%
Hornets vs. Pacers Jun 12 $44,350 −$44,350 -100%
Devils vs. Bruins Jun 12 $26,500 −$26,500 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $41,323 −$41,323 -100%
Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $78,037 −$78,037 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $25,404 −$8,736 -34%
Commanders vs. Vikings Jun 12 $74,496 −$74,496 -100%
Spread: Celtics (-11.5) Jun 12 $48,000 −$48,000 -100%
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5 Jun 12 $6,270 −$6,270 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic Jun 12 $20,950 −$20,950 -100%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05? Jun 12 $18,000 −$18,000 -100%
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09? Jun 12 $36,404 −$36,404 -100%
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30? Jun 12 $2,826 −$2,826 -100%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21? Jun 12 $80,750 −$80,750 -100%
Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $66,000 −$66,000 -100%
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-29? Jun 12 $12,897 −$12,897 -100%
Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5) Jun 12 $56,250 −$56,250 -100%
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-22? Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Jun 12 $78,000 −$78,000 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) Jun 12 $938 −$938 -100%
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-09? Jun 12 $453 −$453 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-10.5) Jun 12 $1,630 −$1,630 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09? Jun 12 $1,038 −$1,038 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bengals vs. Bills Jun 12 $1,802 −$1,802 -100%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-11? Jun 12 $3,621 −$3,621 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? Jun 12 $27,500 −$27,500 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 12 $74,000 −$74,000 -100%
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08? Jun 12 $7,731 −$7,731 -100%
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3) Jun 12 $1,658 −$1,658 -100%
Chiefs vs. Raiders Jun 12 $63,000 −$63,000 -100%
Chargers vs. Chiefs Jun 12 $8,851 −$8,851 -100%
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5) Jun 12 $40,500 −$40,500 -100%
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 154.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) Jun 12 $8,623 −$8,623 -100%
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meetin Jun 12 $2,804 −$2,807 -100%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-25? Jun 12 $57,000 −$57,000 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% +$120,185
other 32% −$54,598
crypto 0% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $25 3m
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $28 4m
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $10 11m
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 43¢ $2 13m
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $39 13m
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 43¢ $1 15m
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 43¢ $75 16m
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $10 17m
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $2 19m
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $2 19m
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 43¢ $1 28m
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $14 36m
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $14 36m
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 43¢ $151 40m
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 43¢ $15 45m
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $8 49m
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $2 57m
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $2 57m
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $14 59m
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $8 1h
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 43¢ $8 1h
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 43¢ $32 1h
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $3 1h
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $2 1h
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $0 1h
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $2 2h
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 43¢ $4 2h
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $58 2h
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $9 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-88.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 495 -87.0% -88.2% 2% 2% -96.2%
≤30d 495 -87.0% -88.2% 2% 2% -96.2%
≤90d 495 -87.0% -88.2% 2% 2% -96.2%
all 495 -87.0% -88.2% 2% 2% -96.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover693.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -88.2% 2% -96.2%
10% -89.3% 2% -96.5%
15% ← realistic here -90.4% 2% -96.9%
20% -91.3% 2% -97.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $229,526.50 · official $229,529.88 (match) · 3500 history records