Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:01:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x37b2…8681
sports · 505 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$11 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$117 · open −$108
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,091
Realized+$117
Unrealized−$108
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses291 / 197
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$930
Open positions18
Markets (closed)488 / 505
History coverage34d
Avg bet$198
Trades / day91.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 18 History 488 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$128
7 days+$275
14 days+$266
30 days+$350
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 92¢ 93¢ $184 $186 +$1 (+1%)
O/U 1.5 Rounds Under 49¢ 48¢ $182 $182 −$0 (-0%)
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 87¢ 89¢ $174 $177 +$3 (+2%)
GTA VI released before November 2026? No 92¢ 94¢ $104 $106 +$2 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 49¢ 100¢ $49 $100 +$51 (+104%)
Amouranth divorced by June 30? No 92¢ 96¢ $78 $82 +$3 (+4%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner KT Rolster 33¢ 50¢ $52 $78 +$26 (+50%)
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 61¢ 38¢ $61 $38 −$22 (-37%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $32 $34 +$1 (+4%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $32 $32 −$0 (-0%)
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? Yes 36¢ 12¢ $75 $24 −$51 (-68%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $22 $21 −$0 (-2%)
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes 41¢ 14¢ $41 $13 −$27 (-67%)
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets in July 2026? No 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in July 2026? No 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets in July 2026? No 99¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in July 2026? No 99¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 41¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$40 (-99%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-95%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A HMBLE 29¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5) T1 13¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Natus Vincere 61¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $166 −$58 -35%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $289 −$23 -8%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $143 −$89 -62%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Jun 12 $63 +$3 +5%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $182 +$18 +10%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $75 +$5 +7%
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match? Jun 12 $90 +$24 +27%
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $93 +$1 +1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $299 +$55 +18%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 12 $152 +$14 +9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $92 +$59 +65%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $158 +$4 +2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $608 +$42 +7%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5) Jun 12 $26 −$23 -88%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $14 +$2 +11%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 11 $104 +$2 +2%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $126 $0 -0%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $186 +$14 +8%
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Jun 11 $38 +$22 +57%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $62 +$34 +56%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 11 $173 +$174 +101%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 11 $44 −$44 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 11 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $118 −$87 -73%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $359 +$26 +7%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $56 −$55 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $76 +$24 +32%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $40 +$1 +2%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $62 −$61 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $66 +$8 +12%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $40 +$7 +18%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $56 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $44 +$29 +67%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $93 +$71 +76%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $118 +$16 +14%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $29 −$29 -100%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $75 $0 +0%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $53 +$21 +40%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 10 $152 +$9 +6%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $3 $0 +7%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner Jun 09 $12 −$1 -9%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 09 $66 +$34 +52%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 09 $86 +$14 +16%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $44 +$56 +127%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $50 +$15 +31%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $43 +$20 +46%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $76 +$5 +7%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $301 −$75 -25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% +$127
other 22% −$387
politics 13% +$63
world 4% −$16
crypto 1% +$243
finance 0% −$5
tech 0% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 54¢ $108 14m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $42 35m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 83¢ $166 37m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 66¢ $104 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 63¢ $5 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 63¢ $94 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $66 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $79 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 75¢ $11 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 76¢ $76 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 1¢ $3 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 75¢ $15 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 75¢ $18 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 75¢ $55 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 5¢ $1 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 5¢ $1 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 5¢ $9 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 51¢ $29 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 51¢ $1 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 51¢ $6 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 51¢ $1 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 51¢ $8 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 51¢ $5 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 51¢ $1 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 54¢ $6 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 54¢ $6 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 54¢ $2 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 54¢ $1 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 54¢ $2 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 54¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-4.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 -0.7% -10.2% 65% 36% -6.7%
≤30d 405 +6.1% -4.0% 60% 32% -9.4%
≤90d 488 +5.1% -4.9% 60% 31% -9.7%
all 488 +5.1% -4.9% 60% 31% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover91.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.9% 31% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -14.0% 20% -18.3%
15% -22.3% 15% -26.2%
20% -29.9% 12% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,090.80 · official $1,096.80 (match) · 3500 history records