Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:26:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x37a4…c92c
crypto · 1740 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$46 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$46 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized−$46
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1654 / 85
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1739 / 1740
History coverage33d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day52.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1739 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No 97¢ 97¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No 97¢ 96¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$46
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 157 +1.0% -8.7% 96% 9% -8.7%
≤30d 1487 -0.1% -9.7% 95% 5% -10.7%
≤90d 1739 -0.3% -9.8% 95% 5% -11.0%
all 1739 -0.3% -9.8% 95% 5% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 5% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 2% -19.6%
15% -26.3% 0% -27.3%
20% -33.6% 0% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.80 · official $25.80 (match) · 3500 history records