Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:26:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x379a…5122
other · 131 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$23,552 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23,900 · open +$349
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,623
Realized−$23,900
Unrealized+$349
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses54 / 74
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$1,574
Open positions3
Markets (closed)128 / 131
History coverage58d
Avg bet$1,662
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 3 History 128 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,517
7 days−$2,283
14 days−$2,159
30 days−$20,079
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 53¢ 56¢ $6,000 $6,340 +$340 (+6%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Over 42¢ 45¢ $174 $186 +$12 (+7%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-19? No 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-24? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-05-16? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $688 $0 −$688 (-100%)
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-05-21? No 53¢ 0¢ $1,800 $0 −$1,800 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-31? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $720 $0 −$720 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-05-30? No 53¢ 0¢ $1,700 $0 −$1,700 (-100%)
Will América de Cali win on 2026-05-28? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $1,033 $0 −$1,033 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Thunder 50¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $1,415 $0 −$1,415 (-100%)
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) Raptors 50¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-10? No 24¢ 0¢ $359 $0 −$359 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $1,990 $0 −$1,990 (-100%)
Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17? No 54¢ 0¢ $2,031 $0 −$2,031 (-100%)
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5) Raptors 46¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Spread: Racing Club (-1.5) Club Independiente Petrolero 38¢ 0¢ $551 $0 −$551 (-100%)
Mexico leading at halftime? No 53¢ 0¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
Will GAIS win on 2026-05-30? No 53¢ 0¢ $1,400 $0 −$1,400 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $223 +$264 +119%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $468 −$460 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $1,535 +$1,431 +93%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $1,521 −$1,500 -99%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 11 $2,071 +$1,782 +86%
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1,621 −$1,600 -99%
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $2,032 −$2,000 -98%
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $203 −$200 -99%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $1,119 −$1,100 -98%
O'Higgins FC vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $1,154 +$1,166 +101%
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $1,781 +$1,358 +76%
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $3,478 −$3,431 -99%
Spread: UD Almería (-1.5) May 31 $2,434 +$2,048 +84%
CD Limache vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 2.5 May 31 $1,613 −$1,587 -98%
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $1,840 +$1,457 +79%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5 May 31 $1,152 −$1,135 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $193 −$190 -98%
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $733 −$720 -98%
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $2,032 +$2,224 +109%
Will Ehime FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $557 +$443 +79%
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1,622 −$1,600 -99%
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1,724 −$1,700 -99%
Will GAIS win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1,420 −$1,400 -99%
Will AC Monza win on 2026-05-29? May 30 $2,436 +$2,364 +97%
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $983 −$967 -98%
Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-29? May 30 $2,344 +$2,895 +124%
Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5 May 29 $2,032 −$2,000 -98%
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 May 29 $1,638 +$1,722 +105%
Will América de Cali win on 2026-05-28? May 29 $1,046 −$1,033 -99%
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5 May 28 $1,437 −$1,415 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) May 28 $2,030 −$2,000 -98%
Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5 May 28 $1,225 +$934 +76%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27? May 28 $993 +$1,277 +129%
Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5 May 28 $508 −$500 -98%
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $1,715 −$1,691 -99%
Spread: Racing Club (-1.5) May 27 $561 −$551 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5 May 27 $1,929 −$1,900 -98%
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5) May 27 $2,109 −$2,080 -99%
Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-05-25? May 26 $81 +$67 +83%
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5 May 25 $1,556 −$1,535 -99%
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $1,016 −$1,000 -98%
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 May 25 $1,638 +$1,722 +105%
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1,926 −$1,900 -99%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $2,029 −$2,000 -99%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $3,048 −$3,000 -98%
Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5 May 24 $462 +$287 +62%
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-23? May 24 $2,028 +$1,677 +83%
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-23? May 24 $913 −$900 -99%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $2,031 −$2,000 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) May 23 $1,623 +$1,396 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% +$13,813
sports 46% −$39,587
world 1% +$2,224
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $6,085 34m
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Over 42¢ $4 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Over 42¢ $173 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 42¢ $10 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 42¢ $458 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Over 47¢ $1 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Over 45¢ $1 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Over 45¢ $2 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Over 45¢ $5 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Over 45¢ $10 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Over 45¢ $203 7h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $103 8h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $96 8h
Mexico leading at halftime? BUY No 53¢ $101 30h
Mexico leading at halftime? BUY No 53¢ $1,420 30h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 51¢ $13 32h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 51¢ $1,522 33h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $103 38h
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) BUY Nigeria 53¢ $449 2d
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) BUY Nigeria 53¢ $507 2d
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) BUY Nigeria 53¢ $101 2d
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) BUY Nigeria 53¢ $608 2d
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) BUY Nigeria 53¢ $406 2d
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 58¢ $608 6d
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 57¢ $1,013 6d
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 47¢ $2,032 6d
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 51¢ $203 6d
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 43¢ $407 9d
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 43¢ $407 9d
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 43¢ $305 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-21.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -25.3% -32.4% 38% 38% -31.1%
≤30d 98 -13.4% -21.6% 43% 43% -20.3%
≤90d 128 -13.3% -21.6% 42% 42% -19.9%
all 128 -13.3% -21.6% 42% 42% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.6% 42% -19.9%
10% -29.1% 42% -27.6%
15% -35.9% 42% -34.6%
20% -42.2% 42% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,622.84 · official $6,622.84 (match) · 258 history records