trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 25% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 28 | +2.5% | -7.2% | 18% | 4% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.2% | 4% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -16.1% | 4% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -24.2% | 4% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -31.6% | 4% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $311 | $311 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 18 | $310 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? | Apr 17 | $300 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $290 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Brentford win on 2025-09-27? | Apr 17 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 14 | $294 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Dec 15 | $108 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model on October 31? | Nov 21 | $108 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Sep 27 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Orioles vs. Guardians | Sep 27 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jul 21 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Oilers vs. Golden Knights | Jul 21 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | May 09 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Golden Knights vs. Red Wings | May 09 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 16 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025? | Mar 16 | $1,506 | −$3 | -0% |
| Crystal Palace wins the Premier League? | Mar 16 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Everton win on 2024-12-07? | Mar 16 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Jan 19 | $0 | $0 | +73% |
| Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,542 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,601 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,544 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,503 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,611 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,599 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,555 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,499 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,566 | −$2 | -0% |