Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:23:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x376b…9467
crypto · 86 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$11 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses83 / 0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)83 / 86
History coverage234d
Avg bet$85
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 83 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? No 100¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+0%)
Will Solana dip to $20 in June? No 100¢ 99¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? No 98¢ 98¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,100 on June 12? Jun 14 $110 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? Jun 11 $104 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5? Jun 08 $109 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $50 in May? Jun 03 $6 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 24? Jun 03 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 22? May 23 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20? May 21 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 8? May 19 $100 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? May 04 $3 $0 +1%
Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026? May 04 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1? May 04 $99 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 28? Apr 29 $103 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 18? Apr 27 $105 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 13? Apr 16 $105 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 11? Apr 12 $99 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9? Apr 10 $101 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 8? Apr 09 $105 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 5? Apr 07 $109 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 2? Apr 03 $107 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? Apr 02 $3 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 29? Mar 30 $103 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 25? Mar 26 $104 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 22? Mar 23 $108 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 19? Mar 21 $105 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16? Mar 18 $103 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 12? Mar 15 $106 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 9? Mar 10 $104 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 8? Mar 09 $106 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 4? Mar 07 $105 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 1? Mar 03 $105 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 27? Feb 28 $104 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 25? Feb 26 $104 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 2 Feb 21 $106 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 17? Feb 19 $104 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 15? Feb 15 $102 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on February 13? Feb 13 $103 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? Feb 12 $102 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on February 1 Feb 11 $103 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on February 9? Feb 09 $105 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 7? Feb 08 $102 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on February 2? Feb 05 $101 $0 +0%
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Feb 01 $3 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $98,000 on January 31? Feb 01 $101 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 29? Jan 30 $98 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 27? Jan 27 $99 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 25? Jan 26 $99 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on January 22? Jan 23 $102 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 19? Jan 20 $103 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 16? Jan 17 $96 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 13? Jan 14 $98 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$9
world 0% $0
economics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
other 0% $0
weather 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Solana dip to $20 in June? BUY No 100¢ $6 1h
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $7 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,100 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $110 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $104 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $109 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 24? BUY No 100¢ $100 21d
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 22? BUY No 100¢ $100 23d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20? BUY No 100¢ $100 25d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 8? BUY No 100¢ $100 37d
Will Solana dip to $50 in May? BUY No 99¢ $6 41d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1? BUY No 100¢ $99 44d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 28? BUY No 100¢ $103 47d
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? BUY No 99¢ $3 50d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 18? BUY No 100¢ $105 57d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $105 62d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $99 64d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9? BUY No 100¢ $101 65d
Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $5 67d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 8? BUY No 100¢ $105 67d
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 5? BUY No 100¢ $109 70d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 2? BUY No 100¢ $107 73d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 29? BUY No 100¢ $103 78d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 25? BUY No 100¢ $104 82d
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? BUY No 100¢ $3 83d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 22? BUY No 100¢ $108 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 19? BUY No 100¢ $105 87d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16? BUY No 100¢ $103 90d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 12? BUY No 100¢ $106 94d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 9? BUY No 100¢ $104 96d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 8 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 25 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 83 +1.1% -8.5% 100% 1% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.5% 1% -9.4%
10% -17.3% 1% -18.1%
15% -25.3% 1% -26.0%
20% -32.6% 1% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.39 · official $17.39 (match) · 171 history records