Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:20:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x3764…c5eb
finance · 459 markets active 7h ago
3.0score
+$7,919 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,799 · open +$4,611
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP finance specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$45,679
Realized+$1,799
Unrealized+$4,611
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses177 / 162
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions134
Markets (closed)339 / 459
Avg bet$386
Trades / day30.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 134 History 339 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,671
7 days+$5,114
14 days+$12,799
30 days+$4,476
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? Yes 17¢ 44¢ $1,435 $3,701 +$2,266 (+158%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? No 73¢ 92¢ $2,890 $3,662 +$773 (+27%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No 48¢ 52¢ $3,095 $3,358 +$263 (+8%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No 86¢ 96¢ $2,637 $2,913 +$276 (+10%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? Yes 10¢ 20¢ $905 $1,737 +$832 (+92%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No 34¢ 25¢ $2,172 $1,580 −$592 (-27%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No 79¢ 98¢ $1,125 $1,398 +$273 (+24%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No 34¢ 26¢ $1,835 $1,394 −$441 (-24%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No 54¢ 44¢ $1,611 $1,301 −$310 (-19%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes 12¢ 13¢ $1,201 $1,286 +$85 (+7%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes 30¢ 60¢ $613 $1,257 +$644 (+105%)
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June? No 53¢ 90¢ $727 $1,239 +$512 (+70%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No 73¢ 94¢ $712 $922 +$210 (+30%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Yes 44¢ 84¢ $459 $891 +$432 (+94%)
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June? No 84¢ 78¢ $907 $843 −$65 (-7%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? Yes 8¢ 10¢ $626 $791 +$165 (+26%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No 70¢ 92¢ $572 $746 +$173 (+30%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? Yes 27¢ 41¢ $484 $744 +$260 (+54%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June? No 81¢ 94¢ $548 $640 +$91 (+17%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No 83¢ 90¢ $572 $620 +$48 (+8%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14? No 94¢ 99¢ $572 $599 +$27 (+5%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day? No 94¢ 97¢ $552 $569 +$18 (+3%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June? No 76¢ 83¢ $514 $565 +$51 (+10%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? Yes 3¢ 9¢ $188 $560 +$372 (+198%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? Yes 27¢ 100¢ $153 $558 +$405 (+264%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Polygon ($MATIC) Market Cap be above $19 billion on January 9 Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Will the price of Wolf Game Wool ($WOOL) be above 10 cents at noon on Jun 12 $0 −$8 -2157%
Will the Seahawks or the Rams win their week 10 NFL matchup? Jun 12 $0 −$78 -29083%
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 3? Jun 12 $0 +$8 +27621%
Will BTC break $15k before 2021? Jun 12 $0 −$360 -209093%
Will Solana (SOL) reach an all-time high by January 14? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will France or the USA report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Which party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election? Jun 12 $0 −$271 -498481%
Will $CRO (Crypto.com Coin) be above $1 on December 1? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before Decembe Jun 12 $0 −$217 -466084%
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in conterminous Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on December 23, 12pm ET? Jun 12 $40 +$167 +413%
Which party will control the senate? Jun 12 $0 −$1,271 -10007265%
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on November 30, 202 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? Jun 11 $845 +$921 +109%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 11 $424 +$995 +234%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 in June? Jun 11 $143 +$147 +102%
Texas Rangers winning after 5 innings? Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,135 +$347 +30%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 11? Jun 11 $343 −$157 -46%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 11? Jun 11 $540 −$212 -39%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 11? Jun 11 $21 −$20 -96%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $68 −$66 -97%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 11? Jun 11 $9 −$9 -97%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 11 $46 +$64 +140%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 10? Jun 11 $56 +$60 +108%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Jun 11 $203 +$101 +50%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 11 $188 +$168 +90%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 11 $195 +$236 +121%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June? Jun 11 $557 +$1,196 +214%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? Jun 11 $2,241 +$1,122 +50%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $0 $0 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $10 −$9 -94%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in June? Jun 10 $34 +$33 +95%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 10 $4 +$68 +1506%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? Jun 10 $172 +$24 +14%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June? Jun 10 $922 +$793 +86%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in June? Jun 08 $54 +$19 +34%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June? Jun 08 $71 +$31 +44%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 5? Jun 08 $104 +$376 +361%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 5? Jun 08 $98 +$459 +469%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 08 $922 +$262 +28%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 08 $1,301 +$133 +10%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 8? Jun 08 $157 −$152 -97%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 8? Jun 08 $250 −$243 -97%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 8? Jun 08 $6 −$6 -96%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 5? Jun 05 $257 −$250 -97%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 5? Jun 05 $37 −$35 -96%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 4? Jun 05 $46 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 74% +$2,393
other 14% +$7,257
tech 11% −$1,043
crypto 2% −$67
sports 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 66¢ $2 7h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 66¢ $1 7h
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 10h
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June? BUY Yes 21¢ $28 10h
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? BUY No 39¢ $10 10h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY No 87¢ $7 12h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY No 87¢ $8 12h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY No 87¢ $8 12h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY No 87¢ $4 12h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY No 87¢ $2 12h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY No 87¢ $2 12h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY No 87¢ $2 12h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY No 87¢ $7 12h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? BUY No 94¢ $53 13h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 13h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY No 88¢ $80 13h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 44¢ $48 13h
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 6¢ $27 14h
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $9 14h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY No 67¢ $339 14h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY No 81¢ $275 14h
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? BUY Yes 13¢ $89 14h
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? BUY Yes 22¢ $255 14h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY No 66¢ $169 14h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 15¢ $2 15h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 11? SELL Yes 18¢ $29 15h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? SELL Yes 48¢ $5 15h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 11? BUY Yes 18¢ $709 15h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? BUY Yes 51¢ $52 15h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? SELL No 19¢ $6 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 +83.6% +66.1% 58% 50% +42.2%
≤30d 241 +2.6% -7.1% 54% 31% -1.7%
≤90d 335 +1.8% -7.9% 53% 28% -5.3%
all 339 +2.1% -7.6% 52% 28% -5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 28% -5.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.5% 24% -14.2%
15% -24.6% 20% -22.5%
20% -32.0% 17% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45,679.42 · official $45,671.04 (match) · 1899 history records