Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:36:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x3746…ffa1
sports · 97 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$27 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$81
Realized−$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses19 / 63
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions15
Markets (closed)82 / 97
History coverage18d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day16.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 15 History 82 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$12
14 days−$26
30 days−$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 85¢ 84¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-0%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 75¢ 76¢ $17 $17 +$0 (+1%)
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 86¢ 86¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 93¢ 92¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 93¢ 92¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 84¢ 85¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 46¢ 46¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 97¢ 97¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 72¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 95¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 52¢ 56¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 29¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 97¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $3 $0 -3%
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $18 $0 -2%
Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Jun 14 $1 $0 -34%
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $4 +$1 +17%
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $25 −$9 -36%
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $2 $0 -28%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 08 $1 $0 +16%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $7 $0 -6%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $23 −$2 -8%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 07 $1 $0 -20%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $3 −$1 -40%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 Jun 07 $2 $0 +13%
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $3 $0 -2%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5 Jun 07 $2 $0 -27%
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 06 $6 $0 -2%
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 06 $5 $0 -3%
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix Jun 06 $1 $0 -3%
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix Jun 06 $4 −$1 -20%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix Jun 06 $5 $0 -6%
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix Jun 06 $1 $0 -10%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $1 $0 +35%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 06 $5 −$1 -24%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5) Jun 06 $2 $0 -20%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5 Jun 06 $1 −$1 -39%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) Jun 05 $2 $0 -25%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 20.5 Jun 05 $2 $0 -2%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5 Jun 05 $3 −$1 -18%
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 05 $21 $0 -1%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 05 $25 −$5 -19%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 Jun 05 $1 $0 -30%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5 Jun 05 $1 $0 +16%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 04 $4 $0 +6%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $8 $0 -2%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 Jun 04 $3 −$1 -21%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 04 $1 $0 +16%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 04 $2 $0 +19%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 Jun 04 $1 $0 +16%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 Jun 04 $1 $0 -33%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 Jun 03 $10 −$2 -20%
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 03 $10 $0 +1%
Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $2 $0 -2%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5 Jun 01 $2 $0 +16%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 Jun 01 $5 $0 -4%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 Jun 01 $2 $0 +16%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 01 $19 −$1 -3%
Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $6 $0 -2%
Spread: Thunder (-3.5) May 31 $1 $0 +17%
Spread: Thunder (-2.5) May 31 $3 −$1 -19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 62% −$21
sports 35% −$25
crypto 2% $0
culture 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL No 99¢ $3 50m
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL No 99¢ $3 1h
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? SELL Yes 54¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? BUY Yes 78¢ $1 1h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 75¢ $1 2h
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 84¢ $3 2h
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL No 99¢ $1 2h
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 100¢ $1 2h
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL No 99¢ $5 2h
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 37¢ $3 2h
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 80¢ $4 4h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 80¢ $1 4h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 75¢ $6 4h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 75¢ $1 4h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 52¢ $1 4h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 75¢ $2 5h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 75¢ $7 5h
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL No 99¢ $9 6h
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 100¢ $9 6h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 65¢ $5 11h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 65¢ $1 11h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 49¢ $9 11h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 65¢ $1 11h
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 32¢ $5 11h
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals BUY No 62¢ $1 2d
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 44¢ $1 6d
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 58¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -15.3% -23.4% 27% 27% -21.8%
≤30d 82 -11.4% -19.8% 23% 20% -17.4%
≤90d 82 -11.4% -19.8% 23% 20% -17.4%
all 82 -11.4% -19.8% 23% 20% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.8% 20% -17.4%
10% -27.5% 2% -25.3%
15% -34.5% 1% -32.5%
20% -40.9% 0% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $80.54 · official $80.54 (match) · 287 history records