Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:16:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x3740…9dcf
crypto · 1186 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$388 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$93 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses853 / 330
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1183 / 1186
History coverage96d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day24.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 1183 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days−$13
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 15? No 100¢ 100¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 15? No 99¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 14? Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 14? Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14? Jun 14 $14 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 13? Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 13? Jun 13 $14 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 12? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $14 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 11? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $9 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $9 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on Ju Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on June 9? Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 9? Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 9? Jun 10 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 9? Jun 09 $17 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on June 8? Jun 09 $14 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 8? Jun 08 $14 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 7? Jun 07 $14 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 6? Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on June 6? Jun 06 $14 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 6? Jun 06 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 6? Jun 06 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 6? Jun 06 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 72°F or higher on June 5? Jun 06 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 68°F or higher on June 5? Jun 06 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 5? Jun 06 $0 $0 -89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$79
sports 18% −$11
weather 9% −$1
other 1% −$3
world 0% +$1
politics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $19 2h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $5 13h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $14 18h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $5 25h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $5 26h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 37h
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $14 42h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 2d
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 2d
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $5 2d
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $14 2d
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $5 2d
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $5 2d
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $3 3d
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $1 3d
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $1 3d
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $9 3d
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $5 3d
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $5 3d
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $5 3d
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $5 3d
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $5 3d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $2 3d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $4 4d
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $9 4d
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $5 4d
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $5 4d
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $5 4d
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $5 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-24.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 109 -11.6% -20.0% 74% 0% -11.5%
≤90d 346 -8.2% -16.9% 69% 10% -11.4%
all 1183 -16.0% -24.0% 72% 11% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.0% 11% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -31.3% 6% -19.3%
15% -37.9% 4% -27.1%
20% -44.0% 2% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.98 · official $29.98 (match) · 3500 history records