Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:40:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x373a…9a67
crypto · 246 markets active 10h ago
0.0score
+$15,517 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$15,517 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$15,517
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses131 / 115
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Est. fees paid−$71
Open positions0
Markets (closed)246 / 246
Avg bet$381
Trades / day361.2
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 246 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$863
7 days+$7,345
14 days+$15,517
30 days+$15,517
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $392 $0 −$392 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 47¢ 0¢ $188 $0 −$188 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2,197 $0 −$2,197 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $392 $0 −$392 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3,084 $0 −$3,084 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2,250 $0 −$2,250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1,100 $0 −$1,100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $625 $0 −$625 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $294 $0 −$294 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 46¢ 0¢ $184 $0 −$184 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $469 $0 −$469 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $1,245 +$255 +20%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $1,003 +$797 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $277 +$273 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $147 −$127 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $98 −$98 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $648 −$633 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1,491 +$1,552 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $768 −$739 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $376 −$369 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $192 −$192 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $441 +$459 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $282 −$282 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $141 −$124 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $86 +$114 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $129 +$171 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $313 +$343 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 10 $98 +$102 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $94 +$106 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $98 +$102 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 10 $392 +$408 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 10 $192 −$188 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 10 $98 −$73 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 10 $96 −$46 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 09 $98 +$62 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 09 $294 +$186 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $98 −$92 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 09 $98 −$81 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 09 $101 +$99 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 09 $196 +$204 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 09 $252 +$257 +102%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $180 −$176 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $182 −$182 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $196 +$204 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $98 +$102 +104%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $192 +$208 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 08 $98 +$102 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 08 $98 +$102 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 08 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 08 $1,334 +$1,489 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 08 $209 −$152 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 08 $392 −$392 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 08 $196 −$192 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 08 $95 −$94 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 08 $100 +$100 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 08 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 08 $250 +$498 +200%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$14,521
sports 6% +$996
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Czechia 83¢ $142 9h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Czechia 83¢ $146 9h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Czechia 83¢ $50 9h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Czechia 83¢ $8 9h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Czechia 83¢ $69 9h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Czechia 83¢ $118 9h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Czechia 83¢ $182 9h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Czechia 83¢ $231 9h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Czechia 83¢ $23 9h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Czechia 83¢ $70 9h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Czechia 83¢ $47 9h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Czechia 83¢ $160 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $58 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $215 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $20 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $17 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $12 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $17 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $14 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $17 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $20 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $17 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 184 -3.3% -12.5% 49% 47% -1.1%
≤30d 246 +6.5% -3.6% 53% 52% +5.5%
≤90d 246 +6.5% -3.6% 53% 52% +5.5%
all 246 +6.5% -3.6% 53% 52% +5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover361.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.6% 52% +5.5%
10% ← realistic here -12.9% 50% -4.6%
15% -21.3% 50% -13.8%
20% -29.0% 49% -22.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records