Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:57:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x372f…182a
sports · 723 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$148 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$168 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$268
Realized+$168
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses389 / 283
Est. fees paid−$76
Open positions51
Markets (closed)672 / 723
History coverage5d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day562.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 51 History 672 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$167
7 days+$168
14 days+$168
30 days+$168
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 79¢ 81¢ $34 $34 +$1 (+2%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 50¢ 45¢ $30 $27 −$3 (-11%)
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Monte 45¢ 100¢ $9 $20 +$11 (+122%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) T1 88¢ 100¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+14%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 47¢ 55¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+16%)
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Lokomotiv Kuban 34¢ 100¢ $5 $14 +$10 (+196%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 76¢ 100¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+32%)
Set Handicap: Almeida (-1.5) vs Rodriguez (+1.5) Almeida 57¢ 62¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jack Pinnington Jones 68¢ 69¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Borges vs. Cilic: Match O/U 23.5 Over 98¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Daria Snigur 55¢ 56¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Eintracht Spandau 45¢ 44¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 93¢ 94¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 36¢ 38¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+5%)
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? Yes 58¢ 100¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+72%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 84¢ 84¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-0%)
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? No 64¢ 66¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Qatar leading at halftime? No 93¢ 92¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Holon BC Maccabi Tel-Aviv 89¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+13%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 44¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+127%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 88¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+14%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Under 98¢ 97¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 26¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox No 53¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-21%)
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: O/U 0.5 Over 98¢ 96¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $6 −$4 -59%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $44 +$12 +27%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$16 -86%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $11 +$13 +122%
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$1 -25%
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Vekic (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 +$7 +70%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$4 -55%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $61 +$38 +63%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$5 +19%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$19 +91%
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic Jun 12 $10 +$2 +17%
Will Chiefs win? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $10 +$2 +23%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $10 +$2 +24%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $48 +$13 +26%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $9 +$9 +95%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $11 +$2 +17%
ITF Maanshan: Uisung Park vs Chan-Yeong Oh Jun 12 $4 +$10 +262%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $3 +$1 +46%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +67%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $8 +$11 +142%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 −$2 -67%
Capitanes de Arecibo vs. Aguada Santeros Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $11 +$5 +50%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $20 −$10 -49%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$10 +50%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5) Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $33 −$5 -14%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $51 −$34 -66%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$121
other 5% +$17
politics 0% $0
weather 0% +$11
tech 0% $0
crypto 0% −$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 45¢ $5 14m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 26¢ $1 21m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 26¢ $1 21m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 46¢ $1 37m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 46¢ $1 37m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY ex-MANA eSports 28¢ $1 41m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 46¢ $5 46m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 50¢ $1 47m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 50¢ $10 48m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 68¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 44¢ $1 1h
Borges vs. Cilic: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 1h
Borges vs. Cilic: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Over 97¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 88¢ $2 2h
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 44¢ $8 2h
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban BUY BC Zenit 26¢ $1 2h
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 55¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 34¢ $3 2h
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban BUY BC Zenit 34¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 34¢ $3 2h
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban BUY Lokomotiv Kuban 52¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $3 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $22 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $2 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 27¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 83¢ $2 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 84¢ $20 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 71¢ $2 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 65¢ $13 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 672 +4.6% -5.4% 58% 46% -7.1%
≤30d 672 +4.6% -5.4% 58% 46% -7.1%
≤90d 672 +4.6% -5.4% 58% 46% -7.1%
all 672 +4.6% -5.4% 58% 46% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover562.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.4% 46% -7.1%
10% ← realistic here -14.4% 35% -16.0%
15% -22.7% 29% -24.1%
20% -30.3% 22% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $267.74 · official $267.73 (match) · 3500 history records