Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:23:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x372d…a034
sports · 902 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$710 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$698 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$45
Realized−$698
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses419 / 717
Est. fees paid−$34
Open positions21
Markets (closed)1136 / 902
History coverage19d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day147.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 21 History 1136 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$624
7 days−$638
14 days−$726
30 days−$698
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 73¢ 72¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Over 76¢ 76¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Yes 50¢ 50¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? No 95¢ 98¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? No 94¢ 97¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 92¢ 94¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 81¢ 87¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+7%)
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) Scotland 94¢ 95¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 34¢ 36¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 76¢ 77¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 51¢ 52¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 Under 27¢ 34¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+26%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Türkiye leading at halftime? Yes 40¢ 40¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No 95¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 Over 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Scotland 21¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 40¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Scotland leading at halftime? Yes 48¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Michael Zheng vs Dino Prizmic Michael Zheng 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Under 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? No 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Roland Garros ATP: Michael Zheng vs Dino Prizmic Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Wadi Degla SC: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: McCartney Kessler vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: SAW vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Ser Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Tabur Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Petra Marcinko vs Vera Zvonareva Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-19? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will FC Cajamarca win on 2026-05-15? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Fiona Ferro vs Elina Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-15? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Geneva Open: Francisco Comesana vs Jaume Munar Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Cervia: Stefan Dostanic vs Francesco Forti Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 23? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% −$49
other 16% −$50
weather 1% −$16
crypto 0% $0
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $2 7m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 32¢ $1 10m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $1 12m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 13m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 94¢ $1 13m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 36¢ $1 13m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $1 14m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 51¢ $1 14m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 53¢ $1 16m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $1 16m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 79¢ $1 17m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 27¢ $1 18m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 78¢ $1 18m
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) BUY Scotland 94¢ $3 36m
Scotland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 37m
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Scotland 21¢ $1 46m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $2 53m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $2 53m
Morocco leading at halftime? SELL No 100¢ $3 53m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $4 53m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $4 53m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $5 53m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $24 53m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $39 53m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 61¢ $1 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 83¢ $2 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 75¢ $2 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $1 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-35.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 562 -53.4% -57.8% 29% 23% -45.7%
≤30d 1136 -28.4% -35.2% 37% 30% -28.3%
≤90d 1136 -28.4% -35.2% 37% 30% -28.3%
all 1136 -28.4% -35.2% 37% 30% -28.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover147.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.2% 30% -28.3%
10% ← realistic here -41.4% 24% -35.1%
15% -47.1% 18% -41.4%
20% -52.3% 13% -47.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.14 · official $45.14 (match) · 3500 history records