trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -70.8% | -73.6% | 12% | 12% | +1.5% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -35.7% | -41.8% | 20% | 20% | +11.6% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -35.7% | -41.8% | 20% | 20% | +11.6% |
| all | 15 | -35.7% | -41.8% | 20% | 20% | +11.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -41.8% | 20% | +11.6% |
| 10% | -47.4% | 20% | +0.9% |
| 15% | -52.5% | 20% | -8.8% |
| 20% | -57.1% | 7% | -17.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 91¢ | 90¢ | $52 | $52 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $36 | +$16 | +46% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $3 | $0 | -12% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$8 | +249% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$9 | +44% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$2 | -53% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -4% |