Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T05:59:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
37 0x371c…da75 other 4 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$27 (-3%) realized −$27 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate25%1W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$201per market
Trades / day28.0pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit25%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 89% −$15
sports 11% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -1.2% -10.6% 25% 25% -12.3%
≤30d 4 -1.2% -10.6% 25% 25% -12.3%
≤90d 4 -1.2% -10.6% 25% 25% -12.3%
all 4 -1.2% -10.6% 25% 25% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover28.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 25% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 0% -20.7%
15% -27.0% 0% -28.4%
20% -34.1% 0% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
3.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$28 vs −$18 · ×1.58 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.53 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$201
Trades / day28.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit25%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 4 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $153 +$28 +18%
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $407 −$39 -10%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Jun 22 $153 −$4 -3%
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? Jun 22 $92 −$10 -11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 72¢ $50 1h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 11¢ $38 1h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 14¢ $51 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 37¢ $62 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 29¢ $51 1h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 51¢ $47 1h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 53¢ $51 1h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 48¢ $177 1h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 49¢ $51 1h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 44¢ $26 1h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 45¢ $51 1h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 45¢ $102 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 28¢ $49 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 28¢ $51 1h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 33¢ $49 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 33¢ $51 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 32¢ $30 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 52¢ $51 2h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 95¢ $1 11h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 95¢ $1 11h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? SELL No 18¢ $0 11h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 81¢ $69 12h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 82¢ $70 12h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 81¢ $79 12h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 82¢ $80 12h
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? SELL Yes 15¢ $82 12h
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? BUY Yes 16¢ $92 12h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 38¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 29 history records