Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:49:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
37 0x371b…0925 crypto 483 markets active 0h ago coverage 9d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (141 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,155 (-6%) realized −$1,587 · open +$4
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate68%325W / 155L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$38per market
Trades / day140.6pace
Fees−$55est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$27now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days−$898
14 days−$1,587
30 days−$1,587
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 77% −$903
sports 17% −$826
other 5% +$99
finance 0% +$21
tech 0% +$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (141 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 393 -1.1% -10.5% 66% 54% -15.7%
≤30d 480 -0.4% -9.9% 68% 53% -17.4%
≤90d 480 -0.4% -9.9% 68% 53% -17.4%
all 480 -0.4% -9.9% 68% 53% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover140.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 53% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 42% -25.3%
15% -26.4% 32% -32.5%
20% -33.6% 22% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$34 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$27
Realized−$1,587
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses325 / 155
Est. fees paid−$55
Open positions2
Markets (closed)480 / 483
History coverage9d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day140.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 480 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 66¢ 98¢ $18 $27 +$9 (+49%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score No 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$14 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$21 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$23 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$24 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$17 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$12 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$11 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$20 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$15 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$8 +34%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$17 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$15 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$6 +27%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$35 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $18 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $18 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $18 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $18 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $20 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $21 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $21 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $23 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $24 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $23 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $24 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $24 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $24 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $22 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.87 · official $24.96 · 1685 history records