Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:01:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x36ff…c817
crypto · 1797 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$288 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$288 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$288
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses1137 / 660
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1797 / 1797
History coverage84d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day22.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1797 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$288
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 219 -0.6% -10.1% 95% 2% -10.1%
≤30d 219 -0.6% -10.1% 95% 2% -10.1%
≤90d 1797 -7.0% -15.9% 63% 16% -11.0%
all 1797 -7.0% -15.9% 63% 16% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 16% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.9% 12% -19.5%
15% -31.3% 11% -27.3%
20% -38.0% 11% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records