Wallet analysis

2026-06-30T03:02:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
36 0x36f9…4df8 sports 188 markets active 1h ago coverage 55d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$2,642 (+2%) realized +$2,642 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate55%104W / 84L
Whale WR60%big bets
Drawdown92%max
Avg bet$694per market
Trades / day25.5pace
Fees−$1,879est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$167
7 days−$4,088
14 days−$5,492
30 days−$5,983
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 98% +$5,386
other 2% −$2,804
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -21.9% -29.4% 41% 41% -33.3%
≤30d 75 -2.9% -12.1% 51% 51% -19.4%
≤90d 188 +5.2% -4.8% 55% 54% -7.7%
all 188 +5.2% -4.8% 55% 54% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover25.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.8% 54% -7.7%
10% -14.0% 53% -16.6%
15% ← realistic here -22.3% 53% -24.6%
20% -29.9% 53% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 60% (≥$921) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +19% → late -9% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
7.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$572 vs −$678 · ×0.84 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.05 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

55d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,642
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses104 / 84
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$1,879
Open positions0
Markets (closed)188 / 188
History coverage55d
Avg bet$694
Trades / day25.5
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 188 Trades
no open positions (69 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri Jun 30 $967 +$965 +100%
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance Jun 29 $820 −$820 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 29 $586 +$89 +15%
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Challenger Jun 29 $763 −$43 -6%
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Champions Jun 28 $506 −$506 -100%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend - Map 2 Winner Jun 28 $567 +$482 +85%
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs roamsfiest (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Playoff Jun 27 $11 +$10 +89%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ReThink (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Play Jun 26 $756 −$756 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 26 $688 −$679 -99%
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score Jun 26 $502 +$428 +85%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 25 $609 +$540 +89%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 25 $614 −$612 -100%
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 25 $756 +$644 +85%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG (BO3) - Super DraculaN Gr Jun 24 $791 −$791 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 24 $1,004 −$1,004 -100%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG - Map 1 Winner Jun 24 $978 +$814 +83%
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner Jun 24 $1,048 −$1,048 -100%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner Jun 24 $1,002 −$1,002 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Acend - Map 2 Winner Jun 24 $715 −$715 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group A Jun 23 $921 +$850 +92%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 23 $920 −$908 -99%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Esport Academy Copenhagen - Map 2 Winner Jun 23 $27 −$27 -100%
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs ReThink (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Group A Jun 22 $756 +$644 +85%
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs ReThink - Map 1 Winner Jun 22 $245 +$209 +85%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Close Jun 21 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? Jun 21 $1,724 −$1,724 -100%
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner Jun 20 $763 −$763 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 P Jun 20 $675 −$675 -100%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 19 $661 +$688 +104%
Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 19 $378 +$382 +101%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 19 $280 +$282 +101%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoff Jun 19 $631 −$631 -100%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 19 $2 +$2 +101%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 19 $621 +$529 +85%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode Jun 19 $38 +$32 +85%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $999 +$851 +85%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $530 +$470 +89%
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $1,007 −$1,007 -100%
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs Jun 18 $1,080 −$1,080 -100%
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $540 −$540 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $952 +$799 +84%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $492 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $1,531 +$1,127 +74%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S Jun 15 $1,522 −$1,512 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $1,946 −$1,946 -100%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $1,006 −$1,005 -100%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playo Jun 15 $648 −$648 -100%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $1,080 −$1,080 -100%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $502 −$502 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1,004 +$856 +85%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri SELL MIBR Academy 100¢ $1,932 1h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $80 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $81 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $109 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $81 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $22 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $32 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $81 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $81 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $81 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $81 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $81 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $20 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $88 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South Ameri BUY MIBR Academy 50¢ $31 2h
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance BUY Germany 58¢ $674 3h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL Procyon Gaming 55¢ $675 3h
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance BUY Germany 58¢ $146 3h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY Procyon Gaming 47¢ $31 4h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY Procyon Gaming 47¢ $204 4h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY Procyon Gaming 47¢ $101 4h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY Procyon Gaming 47¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY Procyon Gaming 47¢ $14 4h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY Procyon Gaming 47¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY Procyon Gaming 47¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY Procyon Gaming 47¢ $38 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1568 history records