Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:35:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x36f2…44aa
crypto · 27 markets active 0h ago
6.0score
+$224 +23%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$224 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$224
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses19 / 8
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)27 / 27
History coverage1d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day38.2
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$224
7 days+$224
14 days+$224
30 days+$224
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Over 60¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $404 +$177 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $471 +$64 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$31 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $51 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$5 +456%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$191
crypto 6% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 13m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $580 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 68¢ $70 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $303 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $31 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $169 22h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 69¢ $297 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $8 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $303 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)+10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +22.1% +10.5% 70% 59% +11.1%
≤30d 27 +22.1% +10.5% 70% 59% +11.1%
≤90d 27 +22.1% +10.5% 70% 59% +11.1%
all 27 +22.1% +10.5% 70% 59% +11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.5% 59% +11.1%
10% ← realistic here -0.1% 48% +0.5%
15% -9.8% 30% -9.3%
20% -18.6% 19% -18.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 66 history records