Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:03:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x36df…c404
other · 13 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$56 -37%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$54 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized−$54
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)5 / 13
History coverage6d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit23%
Chart Positions 8 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$54
14 days−$54
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $14 $13 −$0 (-4%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-12%)
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
Will Blues win? Yes 15¢ 8¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-47%)
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pr Jun 07 $4 −$2 -48%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $21 +$45 +220%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $43 −$42 -97%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $31 −$30 -97%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $26 −$25 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 87% −$53
sports 9% $0
culture 4% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Blues win? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 0m
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 9¢ $1 4m
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand BUY Yes 4¢ $1 48m
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand BUY Yes 4¢ $0 48m
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 5¢ $2 48m
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pr BUY Yes 8¢ $2 49m
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri BUY Yes 12¢ $2 49m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $12 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 1h
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pr SELL Yes 11¢ $2 5d
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? SELL No 17¢ $66 5d
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pr BUY Yes 20¢ $2 5d
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pr BUY Yes 20¢ $0 5d
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pr BUY Yes 20¢ $1 5d
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pr BUY Yes 20¢ $1 5d
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? BUY No 5¢ $21 5d
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? BUY Yes 6¢ $43 5d
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? BUY Yes 10¢ $12 5d
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? BUY Yes 10¢ $19 5d
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? BUY Yes 27¢ $26 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-32.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -25.7% -32.8% 20% 20% -49.5%
≤30d 5 -25.7% -32.8% 20% 20% -49.5%
≤90d 5 -25.7% -32.8% 20% 20% -49.5%
all 5 -25.7% -32.8% 20% 20% -49.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -32.8% 20% -49.5%
10% -39.2% 20% -54.3%
15% -45.1% 20% -58.7%
20% -50.5% 20% -62.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.38 · official $25.38 (match) · 21 history records