Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:49:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
36 0x36d6…9f63 crypto 166 markets active 0h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (100 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$41 (-2%) realized −$80 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate70%117W / 49L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day99.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$80
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (100 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 166 +1.5% -8.2% 70% 51% -13.6%
≤30d 166 +1.5% -8.2% 70% 51% -13.6%
≤90d 166 +1.5% -8.2% 70% 51% -13.6%
all 166 +1.5% -8.2% 70% 51% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover99.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 51% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 38% -21.9%
15% -25.0% 23% -29.4%
20% -32.4% 16% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$7 · ×0.32 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$80
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses117 / 49
Open positions0
Markets (closed)166 / 166
History coverage4d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day99.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 166 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $17 −$6 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$48 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $55 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$14 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $6 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $6 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 409 history records