Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:13:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x36d4…3fa2
crypto · 37 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
+$3 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses18 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)37 / 37
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day40.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$5
other 4% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -6.7% -15.6% 49% 46% -4.5%
≤30d 37 -6.7% -15.6% 49% 46% -4.5%
≤90d 37 -6.7% -15.6% 49% 46% -4.5%
all 37 -6.7% -15.6% 49% 46% -4.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 46% -4.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 43% -13.6%
15% -31.0% 41% -22.0%
20% -37.8% 32% -29.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 64 history records