trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -50.4% | -55.1% | 0% | 0% | -55.1% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -50.4% | -55.1% | 0% | 0% | -55.1% |
| ≤90d | 1 | -50.4% | -55.1% | 0% | 0% | -55.1% |
| all | 9 | +1.5% | -8.1% | 44% | 33% | +90.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.1% | 33% | +90.3% |
| 10% | -16.9% | 33% | +72.1% |
| 15% | -25.0% | 33% | +55.5% |
| 20% | -32.3% | 33% | +40.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $49 | $48 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $502 | −$253 | -50% |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | Jun 02 | $1,055 | +$1,993 | +189% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 23? | May 29 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | May 06 | $7 | −$4 | -62% |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | Mar 12 | $2 | −$1 | -32% |
| Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7? | Mar 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Mar 07 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files? | Mar 07 | $2 | +$2 | +88% |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | Mar 04 | $2 | +$2 | +76% |