Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:43:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x36d0…a6c2
crypto · 67 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$14 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses28 / 37
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)65 / 67
History coverage4d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day31.2
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 65 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$13
14 days+$13
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 12¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Up 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$4 +368%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$5 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$9 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $7 +$9 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$5 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$4 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $6 +$8 +127%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$13
other 1% $0
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 12¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $7 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 9¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -5.5% -14.5% 43% 43% -2.6%
≤30d 65 -5.5% -14.5% 43% 43% -2.6%
≤90d 65 -5.5% -14.5% 43% 43% -2.6%
all 65 -5.5% -14.5% 43% 43% -2.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 43% -2.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 40% -11.9%
15% -30.1% 37% -20.4%
20% -37.0% 29% -28.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.12 · official $3.12 · 160 history records