Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:33:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x36cd…2f52
other · 51 markets active 0h ago
5.5score
+$12 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized+$13
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses22 / 25
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)47 / 51
History coverage566d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 4 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$13
14 days+$13
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+21%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-98%)
Will Ajax Amsterdam win on 2025-09-17? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Genoa win on 2025-09-15? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-18? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan? No 13¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Anca Dragu? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Athletic Bilbao vs. Arsenal end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Valencia vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-16? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-20? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-17? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Verona win on 2025-09-15? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$14 +1354%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +172%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23? Sep 27 $4 +$1 +33%
Will Inter win on 2025-09-21? Sep 22 $3 +$1 +30%
Auburn vs. Oklahoma Sep 21 $2 $0 +19%
Syracuse vs. Clemson Sep 20 $2 $0 +2%
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-20? Sep 20 $1 $0 +6%
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-20? Sep 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Valencia vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? Sep 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21? Sep 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-20? Sep 20 $2 +$1 +74%
Will Bologna win on 2025-09-20? Sep 20 $1 +$1 +89%
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20? Sep 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17? Sep 18 $11 +$3 +28%
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-18? Sep 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-17? Sep 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ajax Amsterdam win on 2025-09-17? Sep 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17? Sep 17 $2 $0 +21%
Will Athletic Bilbao vs. Arsenal end in a draw? Sep 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-16? Sep 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Verona vs. US Cremonese end in a draw? Sep 16 $1 +$1 +75%
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-15? Sep 16 $1 +$1 +133%
Will Genoa win on 2025-09-15? Sep 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Verona win on 2025-09-15? Sep 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? Sep 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31? Sep 15 $2 +$1 +33%
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? Jul 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? Jul 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? Jul 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju Jul 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Anca Dragu? Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan? Jun 20 $16 −$16 -100%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu? Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31? Jun 03 $5 +$1 +18%
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? Jun 03 $2 +$4 +183%
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? May 26 $5 $0 +9%
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? May 23 $26 +$15 +60%
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? Nov 25 $125 −$25 -20%
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? Nov 25 $77 +$30 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 68% +$6
other 26% −$5
tech 2% +$1
sports 2% +$13
crypto 1% +$1
world 1% −$3
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $20 28m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 90¢ $15 31m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 95¢ $1 39m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 93¢ $6 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 93¢ $4 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 94¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 10h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 24h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 38h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 38h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 38h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 2d
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 2d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $3 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $3 2d
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 2d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $4 2d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $3 2d
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23? BUY Yes 75¢ $4 263d
Auburn vs. Oklahoma BUY Oklahoma 84¢ $2 265d
Syracuse vs. Clemson SELL Syracuse 100¢ $2 265d
Syracuse vs. Clemson BUY Syracuse 97¢ $2 266d
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-20? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 266d
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-20? BUY Yes 94¢ $1 266d
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-20? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 266d
Will Valencia vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? BUY Yes 41¢ $1 266d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +117.8% +97.0% 50% 50% +30.2%
≤30d 10 +117.8% +97.0% 50% 50% +30.2%
≤90d 10 +117.8% +97.0% 50% 50% +30.2%
all 47 +2.4% -7.4% 47% 40% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.4% 40% -6.0%
10% -16.3% 32% -15.0%
15% -24.3% 23% -23.2%
20% -31.8% 19% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35.89 · official $35.89 (match) · 111 history records