Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T09:48:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
36 0x36cc…8642 crypto 72 markets active 412d ago coverage 40d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 39d only
✗ bot/MM pace (86 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$172,452 (+8%) realized +$172,452 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +37% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -5% what you keep after slip
Net edge-5%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate76%55W / 17L
Whale WR89%big bets
Drawdown19%max
Avg bet$31,932per market
Trades / day86.4pace
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 71% +$109,481
other 15% +$54,905
tech 9% +$52,502
politics 2% −$948
world 2% +$1,904
economics 1% −$7,278
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (86 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)+24.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 72 +37.2% +24.2% 76% 35% -1.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover86.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +24.2% 35% -1.2%
10% +12.3% 18% -10.7%
15% ← realistic here +1.4% 11% -19.3%
20% -8.5% 10% -27.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI — too few recent
Fragile wins
55% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +37% · $-wt +9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 89% (≥$38,300) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +40% → late +35% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
25.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5,139 vs −$4,240 · ×1.21 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×3.92 per $1 lost it wins $3.92
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

40d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$172,452
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses55 / 17
Whale WR (big bets)89%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)72 / 72
History coverage40d ⚠
Avg bet$31,932
Trades / day86.4
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 72 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP all time high by June 30? Jul 14 $22,696 +$1,466 +6%
Bitcoin all time high by June 30? May 08 $11,440 −$8,119 -71%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April May 01 $2,340 +$60 +3%
Will Solana reach $190 in April? May 01 $13,102 +$986 +8%
Will TikTok be banned again before May? May 01 $18,995 +$1,005 +5%
Will Solana dip to $80 in April? May 01 $69,817 −$10,488 -15%
Will Solana reach $210 in April? May 01 $19,653 +$603 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $2600 in April? May 01 $38,300 +$1,674 +4%
Bitcoin all time high in April? May 01 $38,800 +$1,200 +3%
Will XRP reach $2.70 in April? May 01 $45,519 +$10,100 +22%
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? May 01 $61,263 −$905 -2%
Will Ethereum reach $2400 in April? May 01 $59,322 +$7,640 +13%
Will XRP reach $3.50 in April? May 01 $149,548 +$3,543 +2%
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April? May 01 $159,575 +$10,925 +7%
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30? Apr 30 $39,396 +$559 +1%
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30? Apr 30 $12,000 +$8,000 +67%
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30? Apr 30 $29,221 +$17,313 +59%
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30? Apr 30 $52,606 +$1,628 +3%
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days? Apr 30 $19,600 +$400 +2%
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? Apr 29 $19,812 −$943 -5%
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July? Apr 29 $3,121 −$171 -6%
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? Apr 28 $17,800 −$86 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? Apr 28 $3,367 +$13,544 +402%
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election? Apr 28 $34,018 −$1,348 -4%
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July? Apr 28 $1,899 +$23 +1%
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? Apr 27 $7,188 +$50,718 +706%
Will France win Eurovision 2025? Apr 26 $19,965 −$842 -4%
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in April? Apr 26 $22 +$3 +13%
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025? Apr 26 $9,366 +$1,071 +11%
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? Apr 26 $13,196 +$69 +0%
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? Apr 26 $3,600 −$1,400 -39%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $89000 on Apr 25? Apr 25 $17,847 +$3,770 +21%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April? Apr 24 $19,395 +$565 +3%
Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30? Apr 24 $9,148 +$422 +5%
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? Apr 24 $19,565 +$435 +2%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? Apr 20 $6,500 +$1,400 +22%
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025? Apr 19 $1,981 −$34 -2%
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30? Apr 19 $19,600 +$360 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Apr 18? Apr 18 $2,718 +$9 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Apr 18? Apr 18 $11,282 −$3,580 -32%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86000 on Apr 18? Apr 18 $15,000 +$5,000 +33%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ap Apr 17 $135 +$19 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Apr 11? Apr 12 $13,482 −$12,937 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Apr 11? Apr 12 $5,547 +$182 +3%
Ethereum above $1,900 on April 11? Apr 12 $19,600 +$400 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Apr 11? Apr 12 $19,600 +$400 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Apr 11? Apr 12 $32,893 +$8,057 +24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Apr 11? Apr 11 $9,329 −$9,232 -99%
Solana above $125 on April 11? Apr 09 $19,000 −$5,015 -26%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? Apr 09 $10,800 −$5,878 -54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin all time high by June 30? SELL No 20¢ $316 411d
Bitcoin all time high by June 30? SELL No 20¢ $2,000 411d
Bitcoin all time high by June 30? SELL No 23¢ $1,006 411d
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30? SELL Yes 100¢ $2,997 419d
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30? SELL Yes 100¢ $19,978 419d
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? SELL Yes 43¢ $9,274 419d
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? SELL No 90¢ $14,215 421d
XRP all time high by June 30? SELL No 90¢ $1 421d
XRP all time high by June 30? SELL No 90¢ $1 421d
XRP all time high by June 30? SELL No 90¢ $36 421d
XRP all time high by June 30? SELL No 90¢ $90 421d
XRP all time high by June 30? SELL No 90¢ $90 421d
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? SELL No 90¢ $2,250 421d
XRP all time high by June 30? SELL No 90¢ $22 421d
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July? SELL No 90¢ $1,966 421d
XRP all time high by June 30? SELL No 90¢ $21 421d
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? SELL No 89¢ $17,032 421d
XRP all time high by June 30? SELL No 90¢ $637 421d
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? SELL No 84¢ $12,907 421d
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? SELL No 89¢ $16,911 421d
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election? SELL No 89¢ $6,793 421d
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? SELL No 92¢ $1,040 421d
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July? SELL No 91¢ $984 421d
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election? SELL No 90¢ $10,460 421d
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? SELL Yes 45¢ $7 421d
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? SELL Yes 46¢ $3,517 421d
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July? SELL No 96¢ $1,922 421d
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025? SELL Yes $88 421d
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election? SELL No 92¢ $11,640 422d
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election? SELL No 92¢ $462 422d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records