Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:59:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x36ca…1067
politics · 6 markets active 9d ago
0.0score
+$51,577 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$51,577 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY politics specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$51,577
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses4 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage545d
Avg bet$69,536
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$88,661
30 days+$88,661
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Was Trump hacked? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 03 $26,334 +$88,661 +337%
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? Jan 29 $111,437 +$2,443 +2%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? Dec 29 $199,862 −$62,408 -31%
Lighter Airdrop on December 29? Dec 29 $5,438 −$3,724 -68%
Was Trump hacked? Jan 18 $24,097 +$910 +4%
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? Dec 19 $50,048 +$25,694 +51%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 49% −$66,132
economics 27% +$2,443
politics 24% +$115,265
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $28,931 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $5,726 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $288 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $5 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $192 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $96 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $960 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $1,485 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $500 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $1,800 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $2 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $960 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $375 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $11,079 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $13,595 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $9,500 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $2,968 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $8 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $3,856 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $490 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $95 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $2,686 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $20 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $5 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $48 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $60 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $60 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $10 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $5 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $8,691 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+335.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 +336.7% +295.1% 100% 100% +295.1%
≤90d 1 +336.7% +295.1% 100% 100% +295.1%
all 6 +381.8% +335.9% 67% 50% +2.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +335.9% 50% +2.1%
10% ← realistic here +294.2% 50% -7.6%
15% +256.1% 50% -16.6%
20% +221.2% 50% -24.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 656 history records