Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:31:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x36aa…a683
sports · 1221 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$199 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$489 · open +$100
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$764
Realized−$489
Unrealized+$100
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses476 / 691
Est. fees paid−$293
Open positions48
Markets (closed)1167 / 1221
History coverage65d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day38.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 48 History 1167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$143
7 days−$525
14 days−$2,793
30 days−$1,045
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 2¢ 30¢ $8 $126 +$118 (+1447%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 59¢ 62¢ $60 $64 +$4 (+6%)
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 24¢ $40 $54 +$14 (+35%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $40 $38 −$2 (-5%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners Over 57¢ 66¢ $30 $35 +$5 (+16%)
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 6¢ $14 $33 +$19 (+133%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 32¢ $49 $32 −$17 (-34%)
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-2%)
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 2¢ 12¢ $4 $26 +$22 (+558%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 68¢ $15 $22 +$7 (+46%)
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 5¢ 3¢ $31 $20 −$11 (-37%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 40¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-8%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 47¢ 46¢ $19 $18 −$0 (-1%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Texas Rangers 46¢ 46¢ $19 $18 −$0 (-1%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 43¢ 42¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 32¢ 30¢ $18 $17 −$1 (-8%)
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+0%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 65¢ 64¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Detroit Tigers 64¢ 64¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+10%)
Jonathan David: 1+ goals Yes 35¢ 32¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-10%)
Will Sam Burns finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 35¢ 50¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+43%)
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 5¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+53%)
Will Max Greyserman win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 1¢ 3¢ $3 $8 +$4 (+150%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 12 $13 −$5 -44%
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $32 +$27 +84%
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $25 −$2 -10%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Jun 12 $30 −$3 -9%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $31 +$19 +60%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 12 $13 +$7 +60%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $44 −$43 -99%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Tomáš Souček: 1+ goals Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$19 +183%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $63 −$3 -5%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $2 +$5 +246%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $15 +$3 +18%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 11 $15 −$15 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $37 −$5 -13%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $51 +$56 +110%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals Jun 11 $12 +$21 +170%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $33 +$14 +42%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $30 +$21 +68%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $36 −$35 -98%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $23 −$23 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $20 −$1 -6%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Jun 11 $23 −$11 -46%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $19 −$18 -98%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 11 $13 −$12 -99%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $13 −$1 -5%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $19 −$1 -5%
Will Scotland win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1 $0 -36%
Will South Korea win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $5 −$1 -23%
Will United States win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Jun 11 $13 +$13 +101%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $9 +$8 +95%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $16 +$116 +705%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $52 +$36 +68%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $34 +$42 +123%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $30 −$30 -99%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $36 −$20 -56%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 11 $15 +$8 +56%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $15 +$12 +82%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $22 +$22 +101%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 11 $13 +$7 +55%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $38 −$35 -92%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $33 −$33 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $59 −$26 -44%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $47 −$27 -58%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% +$327
other 25% −$732
world 0% +$10
politics 0% +$6
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 4m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 65¢ $15 4m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $3 5m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $6 40m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 41¢ $28 46m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Over 57¢ $30 47m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $15 48m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $4 48m
Spread: Canada (-1.5) SELL Canada 26¢ $14 48m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 43¢ $19 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 47¢ $19 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 46¢ $19 1h
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) BUY Detroit Tigers 64¢ $13 1h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 13¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 41¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $10 1h
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 32¢ $18 2h
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 47¢ $30 2h
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 2h
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) SELL Chicago White Sox 35¢ $7 2h
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $60 2h
Jonathan David: 1+ goals BUY Yes 35¢ $12 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 3h
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 74¢ $10 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06- BUY 1¢ $10 13h
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $22 14h
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $6 14h
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 9¢ $15 14h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? SELL Yes 57¢ $28 14h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 246 -24.4% -31.6% 30% 30% -18.7%
≤30d 767 -8.4% -17.2% 38% 37% -16.7%
≤90d 1167 -4.6% -13.7% 41% 40% -11.8%
all 1167 -4.6% -13.7% 41% 40% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 40% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 37% -20.2%
15% -29.5% 36% -27.9%
20% -36.4% 32% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $764.47 · official $815.24 · 3500 history records