Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:04:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
36 0x36a5…40df crypto 506 markets active 1d ago coverage 13d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 12d only
✗ bot/MM pace (234 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$579 (-11%) realized −$579 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate36%183W / 323L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day233.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$129
7 days−$325
14 days−$658
30 days−$549
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$551
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (234 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-23.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 287 -13.2% -21.5% 40% 34% -23.3%
≤30d 506 -15.4% -23.5% 36% 27% -19.2%
≤90d 506 -15.4% -23.5% 36% 27% -19.2%
all 506 -15.4% -23.5% 36% 27% -19.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover233.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.5% 27% -19.2%
10% ← realistic here -30.8% 25% -27.0%
15% -37.5% 23% -34.0%
20% -43.6% 20% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -22% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$6 · ×1.24 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$579
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses183 / 323
Open positions0
Markets (closed)506 / 506
History coverage13d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day233.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 506 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$7 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$11 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$9 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$15 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$14 +219%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$8 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $0 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $0 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $0 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records