Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T06:55:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x36a5…445f
crypto · 136 markets active 2h ago
5.5score
+$51 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$51 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$5
Realized+$51
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses90 / 44
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)134 / 136
Avg bet$3
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 134 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$48
14 days+$48
30 days+$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +63%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 +$4 +73%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +79%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +56%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +63%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 59% +$33
sports 34% +$18
other 8% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026 BUY 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 2h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 95¢ $6 3h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $5 9h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 86¢ $12 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 13h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $2 13h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)+3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 +12.5% +1.8% 66% 66% +2.2%
≤30d 128 +12.5% +1.8% 66% 66% +2.2%
≤90d 134 +14.0% +3.2% 67% 66% +2.7%
all 134 +14.0% +3.2% 67% 66% +2.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.2% 66% +2.7%
10% -6.7% 62% -7.1%
15% -15.7% 54% -16.1%
20% -24.0% 44% -24.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.05 · official $10.05 · 323 history records