Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:34:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x369c…eab1
other · 87 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,241 -88%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open −$31
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$2,019
Realized+$2
Unrealized−$31
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions276
Markets (closed)1 / 87
Avg bet$42
Trades / day3499.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 276 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 70¢ 72¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+1%)
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 69¢ 69¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+1%)
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 66¢ 66¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? No 66¢ 67¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 62¢ 62¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+0%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 62¢ 56¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-11%)
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy? No 51¢ 72¢ $8 $11 +$3 (+41%)
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 65¢ 64¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-3%)
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 54¢ 54¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 70¢ 72¢ $10 $11 +$0 (+2%)
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 48¢ 50¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Yes 76¢ 100¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+31%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22? Yes 72¢ 100¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+39%)
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026? No 77¢ 99¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+28%)
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 74¢ 99¢ $7 $10 +$2 (+33%)
Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No 82¢ 98¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+20%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 75¢ 95¢ $8 $9 +$2 (+26%)
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 88¢ 94¢ $9 $9 +$1 (+7%)
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? Yes 76¢ 99¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+30%)
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 70¢ 69¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country? No 76¢ 92¢ $8 $9 +$2 (+20%)
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo Messi 64¢ 62¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
NBA: SGA Award Parlay Jun 12 $0 +$2 +469%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 62% +$3
other 22% −$39
finance 7% $0
politics 5% +$7
crypto 4% −$1
sports 1% −$2
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? SELL No 27¢ $1 0m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 66¢ $3 0m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? SELL No 27¢ $1 0m
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026? BUY No 26¢ $1 0m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY No 27¢ $1 0m
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 56¢ $3 1m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 34¢ $2 2m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 34¢ $2 2m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 34¢ $2 2m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 34¢ $1 2m
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 44¢ $2 2m
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 44¢ $2 2m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 34¢ $1 2m
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 2m
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 44¢ $2 2m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? BUY No 67¢ $3 2m
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL Yes 26¢ $1 3m
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL Yes 26¢ $1 3m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 34¢ $2 3m
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 3m
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY Yes 58¢ $3 3m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 34¢ $2 3m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 34¢ $2 3m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 34¢ $2 3m
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 37¢ $2 4m
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 37¢ $1 4m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 34¢ $2 4m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? SELL Yes 47¢ $2 4m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 4m
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? SELL Yes 28¢ $1 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+414.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +468.8% +414.6% 100% 100% +414.6%
≤30d 1 +468.8% +414.6% 100% 100% +414.6%
≤90d 1 +468.8% +414.6% 100% 100% +414.6%
all 1 +468.8% +414.6% 100% 100% +414.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3499.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +414.6% 100% +414.6%
10% ← realistic here +365.4% 100% +365.4%
15% +320.4% 100% +320.4%
20% +279.2% 100% +279.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,019.33 · official $2,020.01 (match) · 3500 history records