trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +55.6% | +40.7% | 75% | 75% | +60.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +55.6% | +40.7% | 75% | 75% | +60.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +55.6% | +40.7% | 75% | 75% | +60.7% |
| all | 26 | -17.4% | -25.3% | 35% | 35% | +44.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -25.3% | 35% | +44.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -32.4% | 35% | +30.4% |
| 15% | -39.0% | 31% | +17.8% |
| 20% | -45.0% | 31% | +6.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $11,900 | $12,451 | +$551 (+5%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $6,500 | $4,663 | −$1,837 (-28%) |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | No | 42¢ | 46¢ | $1,493 | $1,618 | +$124 (+8%) |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 1¢ | $735 | $1,011 | +$276 (+37%) |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1,031 | $957 | −$73 (-7%) |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1,136 | $465 | −$671 (-59%) |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $270 | $202 | −$68 (-25%) |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 6¢ | 2¢ | $594 | $197 | −$397 (-67%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $30,574 | +$32,760 | +107% |
| England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $15,532 | −$15,532 | -100% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $32,938 | +$29,570 | +90% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $30,510 | +$38,235 | +125% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Jan 21 | $764 | −$170 | -22% |
| Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ? | Jan 07 | $571 | +$189 | +33% |
| Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 1? | Dec 19 | $146 | −$146 | -100% |
| Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 2? | Dec 19 | $71 | −$71 | -100% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Sep 24 | $1,743 | −$1,743 | -100% |
| Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17? | Sep 18 | $1,441 | +$1,087 | +75% |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open? | Sep 17 | $666 | +$782 | +117% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Jul 05 | $350 | −$350 | -100% |
| Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jul 05 | $2,361 | −$1,344 | -57% |
| Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July? | Jul 05 | $1,040 | −$1,040 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Angela / Merkel" during Merz events on June 5? | Jun 24 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Will Jamal Musiala be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World C | Jun 24 | $1,683 | −$1,683 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Merz events on June 5? | Jun 24 | $55 | −$55 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Big beautiful bill" during Merz events on June | Jun 24 | $294 | −$294 | -100% |
| Will Germany beat France? | Jun 24 | $3,869 | −$3,869 | -100% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 18 | $3,464 | −$3,463 | -100% |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 15 | $549 | −$549 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Drone" during Merz events on June 5? | Jun 15 | $93 | +$99 | +107% |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 15 | $3,570 | +$3,430 | +96% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 05 | $1,663 | −$1,663 | -100% |
| French Open: Zverev vs. Djokovic | Jun 04 | $1,000 | −$91 | -9% |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | Jun 01 | $2,593 | +$8,465 | +326% |