trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 21 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 14% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -20.2% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -27.9% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -34.9% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $209 | $208 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $178 | $178 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 95¢ | 97¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $199 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $209 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $2 | $0 | -17% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $208 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $209 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 02 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 02 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | Jan 26 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Jan 26 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no | Jan 20 | $408 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 20 | $89 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 19 | $994 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? | Jan 16 | $925 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? | Jan 16 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 15 | $496 | $0 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 14 | $380 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 14 | $117 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 13 | $497 | −$1 | -0% |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Jan 07 | $15 | −$5 | -34% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Dec 25 | $19 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 31 | $49 | $0 | -0% |