Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:47:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x3664…7b8c
crypto · 390 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$182 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$182 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$182
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses248 / 142
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)390 / 390
History coverage15d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day68.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 390 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$51
7 days−$65
14 days−$182
30 days−$182
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$172
tech 0% −$10
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 239 -12.0% -20.4% 68% 8% -13.4%
≤30d 390 -12.1% -20.4% 64% 12% -15.4%
≤90d 390 -12.1% -20.4% 64% 12% -15.4%
all 390 -12.1% -20.4% 64% 12% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover68.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.4% 12% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 7% -23.5%
15% -35.0% 5% -30.9%
20% -41.4% 4% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1408 history records