trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 43% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 47% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 47% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 26 | -4.9% | -14.0% | 54% | 4% | -12.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.0% | 4% | -12.8% |
| 10% | -22.2% | 4% | -21.2% |
| 15% | -29.7% | 4% | -28.8% |
| 20% | -36.6% | 4% | -35.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 21 | $54 | −$1 | -1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 20 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $153 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 18 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $24 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 07 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 07 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 06 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 05 | $49 | $0 | +1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 05 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? | Dec 11 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on May 19? | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Leicester City be relegated? | Apr 21 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $77000 and $79000 on Mar 21? | Mar 22 | $7 | $0 | +3% |
| Flames vs. Flyers | Mar 06 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries applaud during Trump's address to Congress? | Mar 04 | $6 | $0 | -6% |
| Utah vs. UCF | Mar 04 | $34 | +$25 | +75% |
| Will Mark Few make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of F | Feb 23 | $33 | $0 | +0% |