Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:01:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x3652…18bd
crypto · 9 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$24 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses4 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$24
14 days−$24
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$13 +252%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +13.9% +3.0% 50% 50% -43.4%
≤30d 8 +13.9% +3.0% 50% 50% -43.4%
≤90d 8 +13.9% +3.0% 50% 50% -43.4%
all 8 +13.9% +3.0% 50% 50% -43.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.0% 50% -43.4%
10% -6.8% 50% -48.8%
15% -15.8% 50% -53.7%
20% -24.1% 50% -58.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $25.32 · 18 history records