Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:22:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x3650…d17c
crypto · 1516 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$106 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open −$77
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$430
Realized−$27
Unrealized−$77
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1515 / 21
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Est. fees paid−$65
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1536 / 1516
History coverage3d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day649.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 6 History 1536 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$62
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Under 55¢ 48¢ $275 $242 −$32 (-12%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 39¢ 38¢ $78 $77 −$1 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes $55 $52 −$3 (-6%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 19¢ 19¢ $26 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Will Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 20¢ $55 $15 −$40 (-72%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 81¢ 82¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $90 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $45 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $68 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $240 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $142 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $113 −$113 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $180 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $56 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$7
other 5% −$35
sports 5% −$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $62 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $45 22m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $24 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $68 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $78 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $22 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $125 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $54 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $80 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1536 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 1536 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 1536 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -9.6%
all 1536 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover649.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $429.99 · official $414.72 · 3500 history records