trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 21 | -14.0% | -22.1% | 38% | 38% | +3.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -22.1% | 38% | +3.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -29.6% | 38% | -6.7% |
| 15% | -36.4% | 38% | -15.7% |
| 20% | -42.6% | 33% | -24.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 12¢ | $2,470 | $3,566 | +$1,096 (+44%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | $2,250 | $3,415 | +$1,165 (+52%) |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $2,393 | $1,966 | −$428 (-18%) |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $827 | $643 | −$185 (-22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025? | Jul 03 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open? | May 25 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | Feb 22 | $1,300 | −$1,300 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $5,514 | +$5,111 | +93% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon Men's? | Jul 22 | $4,210 | −$4,210 | -100% |
| Netherlands vs. England - Who will advance? | Jul 22 | $5,079 | −$5,079 | -100% |
| Euro Finals: Spain vs. England | Jul 22 | $3,268 | +$2,245 | +69% |
| Spain vs. France - Who will advance? | Jul 10 | $2,794 | +$2,286 | +82% |
| Will Austria win? | Jul 08 | $2,000 | −$2,000 | -100% |
| England vs. Slovakia - who will advance? | Jul 08 | $750 | −$750 | -100% |
| Portugal vs. France - Who will advance? | Jul 08 | $2,500 | −$2,500 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2024 Euros? | Jul 08 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| England vs. Switzerland - Who will advance? | Jul 08 | $10,000 | −$10,000 | -100% |
| Will the Netherlands win? | Jul 08 | $1,760 | +$1,034 | +59% |
| Switzerland vs. Italy - who will advance? | Jun 29 | $5,500 | +$6,457 | +117% |
| Will Croatia win? | Jun 29 | $2,818 | −$2,818 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win? | Jun 29 | $4,477 | −$4,477 | -100% |
| Will England win? | Jun 29 | $9,967 | −$9,967 | -100% |
| Will Georgia win? | Jun 29 | $2,000 | +$2,446 | +122% |
| Will Portugal win? | Jun 19 | $2,027 | +$791 | +39% |
| Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? | May 24 | $8,449 | +$36,019 | +426% |