Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:03:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x364b…bb21
other · 270 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$9 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses182 / 78
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions9
Markets (closed)260 / 270
History coverage317d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit47%
Chart Positions 9 History 260 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$14
14 days+$15
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 90¢ 90¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 82¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 61¢ 60¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Yes 89¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+12%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 71¢ 70¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 35¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Spurs 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? Yes 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Under 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? No 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$4 +344%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$8 +42%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 $0 +38%
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 +$1 +55%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Will Russia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 $0 +7%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $3 $0 +16%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 $0 +13%
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $3 +$1 +18%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 $0 +12%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-03? Jun 09 $1 $0 +14%
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03? Jun 09 $1 +$1 +79%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03? Jun 09 $2 +$1 +44%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-05-04? Jun 03 $1 $0 +27%
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04? Jun 03 $1 $0 +42%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-04? Jun 03 $2 $0 +17%
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 04 $2 −$2 -98%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs May 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08? May 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07? May 04 $1 $0 +24%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? May 04 $1 +$1 +52%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08? May 04 $2 +$1 +26%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 07 $5 −$1 -20%
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tiran Apr 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-07? Apr 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03? Apr 07 $1 $0 +28%
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaider Apr 07 $1 $0 +34%
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-03? Apr 07 $2 $0 +23%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-03? Apr 07 $2 +$1 +31%
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-26? Apr 03 $1 $0 +32%
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26? Apr 03 $1 $0 +32%
Will Romania win on 2026-03-26? Apr 03 $2 $0 +12%
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26? Apr 03 $2 +$1 +28%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-28? Mar 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22? Mar 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22? Mar 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21? Mar 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21? Mar 25 $1 $0 +43%
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-22? Mar 25 $1 +$1 +52%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17? Mar 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17? Mar 21 $1 +$1 +82%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw? Mar 21 $2 $0 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 49% −$4
other 30% +$9
world 10% +$1
sports 6% +$9
culture 3% −$2
economics 2% $0
crypto 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $2 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $5 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 83¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 35¢ $1 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $3 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $10 1h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 74¢ $3 19h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 32¢ $1 19h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $4 19h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 22¢ $1 19h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovi BUY 41¢ $2 19h
Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group S BUY Yes 90¢ $20 44h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 65¢ $2 44h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 44h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 64¢ $2 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 2d
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? BUY No 91¢ $2 2d
Will England win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 86¢ $5 2d
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 72¢ $1 3d
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 62¢ $1 3d
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 86¢ $3 3d
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 88¢ $2 3d
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 94¢ $2 3d
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 89¢ $2 3d
Will Russia win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 93¢ $2 3d
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 64¢ $1 3d
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 84¢ $3 3d
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03? BUY Yes 69¢ $2 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +23.9% +12.1% 85% 70% +10.6%
≤30d 23 +24.5% +12.6% 87% 74% +10.8%
≤90d 51 -0.4% -9.9% 71% 65% -3.8%
all 260 +3.2% -6.6% 70% 65% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.6% 65% -9.2%
10% -15.6% 45% -17.9%
15% -23.7% 21% -25.8%
20% -31.2% 12% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.93 · official $51.93 (match) · 573 history records