trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +11.6% | +1.0% | 60% | 60% | +9.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 55% | 55% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 55% | 55% | -9.4% |
| all | 20 | -12.7% | -21.1% | 45% | 45% | -7.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.1% | 45% | -7.2% |
| 10% | -28.6% | 40% | -16.1% |
| 15% | -35.5% | 35% | -24.2% |
| 20% | -41.8% | 30% | -31.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 48¢ | 28¢ | $48 | $28 | −$20 (-41%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $82 | +$28 | +34% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $63 | +$37 | +60% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $93 | +$93 | +100% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$39 | -76% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $89 | −$26 | -29% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $53 | −$33 | -62% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $119 | +$80 | +67% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | −$77 | -77% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $78 | +$42 | +55% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $199 | +$91 | +46% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $198 | −$195 | -98% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04? | Jan 04 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on January 4? | Jan 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jan 04 | $1 | $0 | -50% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Dec 28 | $22 | −$1 | -3% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5) | Dec 14 | $100 | +$75 | +75% |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3) | Dec 13 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) | Dec 12 | $40 | +$5 | +12% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 06 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 23 | $20 | +$19 | +95% |