Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T09:06:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
36 0x3640…4a63 crypto 123 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (106 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$140 (+2%) realized +$140 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate79%97W / 26L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$74per market
Trades / day105.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (106 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 123 +3.3% -6.5% 79% 44% -9.0%
≤30d 123 +3.3% -6.5% 79% 44% -9.0%
≤90d 123 +3.3% -6.5% 79% 44% -9.0%
all 123 +3.3% -6.5% 79% 44% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover105.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 44% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -15.4% 32% -17.7%
15% -23.6% 24% -25.7%
20% -31.1% 13% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
43% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late +4% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$22 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.09 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$140
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses97 / 26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)123 / 123
History coverage2d
Avg bet$74
Trades / day105.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 123 Trades
no open positions (17 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$2 -22%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$7 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$3 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 19 $10 +$5 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 19 $10 +$2 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $11 +$11 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 19 $10 +$2 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$1 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$1 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $17 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $13 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $12 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $12 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $11 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $11 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 280 history records