Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:39:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x363e…fad6
crypto · 1551 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses1187 / 363
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1550 / 1551
History coverage4d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day637.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1550 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 68¢ 59¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 51m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 57m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +76%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1550 -2.4% -11.7% 77% 76% -9.5%
≤30d 1550 -2.4% -11.7% 77% 76% -9.5%
≤90d 1550 -2.4% -11.7% 77% 76% -9.5%
all 1550 -2.4% -11.7% 77% 76% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover637.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 76% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 48% -18.2%
15% -27.9% 14% -26.1%
20% -34.9% 3% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.97 · official $0.93 (match) · 3500 history records