Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:32:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x3636…ba4c
sports · 373 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$46 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$39 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized+$39
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses161 / 210
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions2
Markets (closed)371 / 373
History coverage192d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day4.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 371 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$24
14 days+$30
30 days+$133
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Karmine Corp Blue 79¢ 94¢ $20 $24 +$4 (+19%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Eintracht Spandau 65¢ 86¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A NRG 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime (BO3) Ultra Prime 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Lakers Lakers 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 Winner TDK 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Passion UA 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner ThunderTalk Gaming 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Kings vs. Knicks Kings 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Wyoming Cowboys 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B Lynn Vision 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: regain vs Marsborne (BO3) regain 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: FRK vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner FRK 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner G2 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Australia" while addressing the nation on December 17? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Kings vs. Warriors Kings 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $34 +$2 +7%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $27 +$6 +24%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$2 +111%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2 +$3 +148%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $8 $0 -5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -89%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - M Jun 10 $14 −$14 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +50%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $4 −$4 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -88%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $4 +$7 +203%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $11 +$7 +62%
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 09 $7 $0 +2%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$1 +12%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $23 +$4 +16%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $9 +$1 +14%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $13 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $1 +$2 +220%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $1 +$1 +93%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $39 +$23 +60%
Will Niger vs. Mauritania end in a draw? Jun 08 $4 −$4 -97%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $9 +$10 +119%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $6 −$6 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $7 +$4 +54%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $15 +$3 +20%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $4 +$2 +50%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$2 +43%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $5 −$5 -98%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 08 $5 $0 -1%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $8 +$2 +20%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $1 +$1 +82%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $5 +$5 +112%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% +$128
crypto 7% −$13
other 3% −$46
politics 2% −$39
tech 2% −$1
world 1% −$5
economics 1% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Karmine Corp Blue 77¢ $5 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Karmine Corp Blue 80¢ $15 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C SELL G2 NORD 100¢ $9 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C SELL G2 NORD 96¢ $27 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 78¢ $6 2h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 65¢ $10 2h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group SELL Misa Esports 100¢ $33 2h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 93¢ $24 4h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 91¢ $4 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $4 4h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BUY Misa Esports 80¢ $27 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 46¢ $2 7h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 78¢ $3 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 96¢ $5 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $3 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $6 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 82¢ $5 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 20¢ $1 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 49¢ $1 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $2 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 91¢ $2 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 89¢ $2 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 65¢ $1 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 38¢ $2 10h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $2 10h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 6¢ $0 10h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 49¢ $1 12h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 49¢ $1 12h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $1 12h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - M BUY Dewa United Esports 66¢ $14 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -7.1% -15.9% 52% 48% -3.9%
≤30d 188 -9.6% -18.2% 48% 46% -3.0%
≤90d 238 -7.2% -16.1% 49% 47% -5.6%
all 371 -8.1% -16.8% 43% 41% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.8% 41% -8.1%
10% -24.8% 35% -16.9%
15% -32.1% 30% -25.0%
20% -38.7% 26% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.09 · official $37.09 (match) · 874 history records