Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:22:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x362c…67e6
sports · 160 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$33 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$76 · open −$44
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$370
Realized+$76
Unrealized−$44
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses81 / 67
Est. fees paid−$41
Open positions12
Markets (closed)148 / 160
History coverage3d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day378.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 12 History 148 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$117
7 days+$76
14 days+$76
30 days+$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 71¢ 69¢ $94 $92 −$2 (-2%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 44¢ 100¢ $23 $53 +$29 (+125%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 33¢ 30¢ $51 $48 −$3 (-7%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 85¢ 100¢ $31 $36 +$5 (+17%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 76¢ 72¢ $27 $26 −$2 (-6%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 59¢ 64¢ $22 $23 +$2 (+8%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jack Pinnington Jones 54¢ 60¢ $18 $20 +$2 (+10%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Frances Tiafoe 41¢ 28¢ $23 $16 −$7 (-31%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Carlos Maria Zarate 20¢ 36¢ $8 $15 +$7 (+80%)
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Oliver Tarvet 72¢ 71¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Francesco Forti 63¢ 52¢ $13 $11 −$2 (-17%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Filippo Romano 58¢ 40¢ $12 $9 −$4 (-30%)
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Nuria Brancaccio 35¢ 34¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 68¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-99%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 50¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 46¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? No 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Philippines vs. Myanmar end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Juan Bautista Torres 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? No 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Alexandra Eala 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin Ilia Simakin 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $113 +$48 +42%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $31 +$4 +15%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $40 −$4 -9%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $96 +$40 +41%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $19 +$5 +28%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $51 +$12 +24%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $35 +$7 +20%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $48 +$6 +12%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $56 −$10 -18%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $78 +$6 +8%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $10 +$2 +18%
Libema Open (Doubles): Balaji/Ram vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 11 $2 +$2 +89%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $35 −$6 -18%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $73 −$25 -34%
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $43 +$5 +11%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $3 +$2 +48%
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? Jun 11 $23 −$11 -48%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $13 +$2 +19%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 11 $22 +$2 +11%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $27 +$3 +12%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $84 −$19 -22%
Will SC Recife vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $11 +$1 +11%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 10 $7 −$7 -99%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $58 +$6 +10%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $30 $0 +2%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 10 $25 +$3 +13%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 10 $13 −$4 -35%
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 10 $25 +$4 +15%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $98 +$7 +7%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $30 +$34 +111%
Ilkley: Hamish Stewart vs Leandro Riedi Jun 10 $23 −$2 -8%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 10 $10 −$4 -37%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $76 +$8 +10%
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Jun 10 $33 $0 -1%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb Jun 10 $27 +$3 +12%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan Jun 10 $22 +$8 +39%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 10 $12 −$12 -100%
Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 10 $4 +$2 +38%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 10 $11 +$1 +6%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 10 $40 +$14 +36%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 10 $29 $0 -0%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $21 −$3 -16%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $20 −$2 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% −$10
other 11% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 69¢ $6 0m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 96¢ $9 1m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 36¢ $3 1m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 36¢ $3 1m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 69¢ $3 3m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 73¢ $3 4m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 73¢ $4 4m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 56¢ $3 4m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 56¢ $3 4m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 52¢ $3 4m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 71¢ $3 5m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 71¢ $4 5m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 22¢ $0 6m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Nuria Brancaccio 35¢ $2 6m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 18¢ $1 7m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 57¢ $5 7m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Nuria Brancaccio 35¢ $3 8m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 70¢ $6 8m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 64¢ $3 10m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 81¢ $7 11m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 57¢ $3 11m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 12m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 67¢ $6 13m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 61¢ $5 14m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 56¢ $5 14m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 57¢ $5 16m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 17¢ $1 16m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 84¢ $8 17m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 26¢ $1 42m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 62¢ $3 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 148 -9.8% -18.4% 55% 43% -6.7%
≤30d 148 -9.8% -18.4% 55% 43% -6.7%
≤90d 148 -9.8% -18.4% 55% 43% -6.7%
all 148 -9.8% -18.4% 55% 43% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover378.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.4% 43% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -26.2% 25% -15.7%
15% -33.3% 19% -23.8%
20% -39.9% 9% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $370.34 · official $370.36 (match) · 1360 history records