Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:36:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x361f…369d
crypto · 25 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$15 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses21 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)25 / 25
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day49.0
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$15
14 days+$15
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$7 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $13 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +6.1% -4.0% 84% 52% -3.8%
≤30d 25 +6.1% -4.0% 84% 52% -3.8%
≤90d 25 +6.1% -4.0% 84% 52% -3.8%
all 25 +6.1% -4.0% 84% 52% -3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.0% 52% -3.8%
10% ← realistic here -13.2% 20% -13.0%
15% -21.6% 8% -21.5%
20% -29.3% 0% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 51 history records